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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
TQL Stadium
Montreal Impact

Cincinnati
3 - 0
Montreal

Waterman (2' og.), Acosta (26'), Vazquez (65')
Nwobodo (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 DC United
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 CF Montreal

Montreal have done well to turn its dismal campaign around however, they have not faced a side as potent as Cincinnati, and we believe they will be knocked back down a peg in this encounter.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawCF Montreal
52.33% (-0.358 -0.36) 24.05% (0.203 0.2) 23.62% (0.145 0.15)
Both teams to score 53.33% (-0.481 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.98% (-0.721 -0.72)48.01% (0.713 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.81% (-0.668 -0.67)70.18% (0.65900000000001 0.66)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (-0.41 -0.41)18.32% (0.401 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59% (-0.694 -0.69)49.4% (0.683 0.68)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.29% (-0.268 -0.27)34.71% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.56% (-0.282 -0.28)71.43% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 52.33%
    CF Montreal 23.62%
    Draw 24.04%
FC CincinnatiDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.16% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.33%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.151 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 23.62%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Montreal

FC Cincinnati
58.3%
Draw
16.7%
CF Montreal
25.0%
12
Head to Head
May 29, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
4-3
Cincinnati
Waterman (21'), Quioto (45+4', 59' pen.), Choiniere (46')
Waterman (53'), Camacho (86'), Hamdy (90')
Moreno (12', 63'), Barreal (52')
Acosta (83'), Moreno (89')
Apr 2, 2022 9pm
Cincinnati
3-4
Montreal
Vazquez (12'), Johnston (20' og.), Acosta (61' pen.)
Gaddis (24'), Powell (28'), Blackett (90+1'), Acosta (90+4')
Mihailovic (17', 41'), Kamara (45+1'), Torres (67')
Waterman (70'), Breza (88'), Wanyama (90+4')
Aug 19, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 27
Cincinnati
0-0
Montreal

Cruz (36'), Matarrita (62'), Acosta (89'), Brenner (90+4')

Maciel (22'), Choiniere (26'), Camacho (68'), Camacho (74')
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 17
Montreal
5-4
Cincinnati
Toye (21', 72' pen.), Torres (34'), Hamdi Hussein Hafez (74', 87')
Waterman (41'), Brault-Guillard (90')
Medunjanin (6'), Brenner (14', 46'), Vallecilla (42')
Kubo (28'), Vallecilla (31'), Brenner (45+1'), Vermeer (67'), Acosta (84')
May 22, 2021 6pm
gameweek 8
Montreal
1-2
Cincinnati
Mihailovic (56')
Mihailovic (35'), Brault-Guillard (43'), Quioto (54'), Wanyama (89')
Locadia (70'), Gustavo Vallecilla Godoy (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218


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