Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 58.86% . A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.54% .
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.85%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%) , while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.86%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.
Result FC Cincinnati Draw DC United 58.86% ( 0.01) 22.6% ( -0) 18.54% ( 0)
Both teams to score 50.54% ( 0.03)
51.93% ( 0.03) 48.07% ( -0.03)
29.77% ( 0.03) 70.24% ( -0.03)
84.01% ( 0.02) 15.99% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 54.69% ( 0.02) 45.31% ( -0.02)
60.16% ( 0.03) 39.85% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 23.49% ( 0.02) 76.51% ( -0.02)
FC Cincinnati 58.85%
DC United 18.54%
Draw 22.59%
FC Cincinnati Draw DC United 1-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 58.85% 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.59% 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 18.54%
How you voted: Cincinnati vs DC United
FC Cincinnati
Draw
DC United
6
rhs 2.0
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