Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 58.28%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | Toronto |
58.28% ( 1.5) | 20.59% ( -0.54) | 21.12% ( -0.97) |
Both teams to score 61.83% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.78% ( 1.29) | 35.22% ( -1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.76% ( 1.42) | 57.23% ( -1.42) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.05% ( 0.84) | 11.95% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.67% ( 1.76) | 37.33% ( -1.76) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.22% ( -0.11) | 29.78% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.15% ( -0.14) | 65.85% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | Toronto |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.12) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.54% Total : 58.28% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.59% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.99% Total : 21.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |