Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Nashville SC |
43.5% ( 0.11) | 25.41% ( -0.14) | 31.09% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.87% ( 0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.24% ( 0.61) | 48.76% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.13% ( 0.55) | 70.87% ( -0.55) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.64% ( 0.31) | 22.36% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.15% ( 0.46) | 55.85% ( -0.46) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.67% ( 0.32) | 29.32% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.7% ( 0.4) | 65.3% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Nashville SC |
1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 41 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 36 |
9 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 18 |