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Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Montreal Impact

Toronto
5 - 1
Montreal

Longstaff (6'), Bernardeschi (12', 58', 60'), Osei Owusu (19')
Bernardeschi (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Sunusi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-3 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-0 CF Montreal

Both teams are struggling at the moment, but the Reds should get plenty of difference-makers back this weekend, which could pay dividends. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
46.08% (-1.846 -1.85) 24.72% (0.567 0.57) 29.19% (1.276 1.28)
Both teams to score 56.09% (-1.007 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (-1.734 -1.73)46.69% (1.733 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (-1.644 -1.64)68.95% (1.644 1.64)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (-1.465 -1.47)20.33% (1.462 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.28% (-2.385 -2.39)52.72% (2.383 2.38)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.59% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (0.036999999999999 0.04)65.62% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 46.08%
    CF Montreal 29.19%
    Draw 24.73%
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.263 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.63% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.321 -0.32)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.267 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.226 -0.23)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 46.08%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.427 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.525 0.53)
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.206 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.324 0.32)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 29.19%

How you voted: Toronto vs Montreal

Toronto
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
CF Montreal
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-3
Montreal
Bernardeschi (66', 90+4')
Servania (45+5')
Petretta (77')
Choiniere (18', 79'), Mabika (25' og.)
Campbell (90+3')
May 14, 2023 12.30am
Sep 5, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
3-4
Montreal
Bernardeschi (5' pen.), Insigne (7', 90+3')
Miller (19'), Mihailovic (21'), Kamara (43'), Johnston (54')
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 41
Toronto
1-1
Montreal
Altidore (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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