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Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Inter Miami

Montreal
2 - 3
Inter Miami

Duke (22'), Vilsaint (32')
Piette (43')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Rojas (44'), Suarez (45+3'), Cremaschi (59')
Krivtsov (55'), Busquets (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-4 Inter Miami

Le CFM have conceded four or more goals in three domestic away fixtures this season, and that was against three low-scoring teams in the Seattle Sounders, Chicago Fire and Nashville, so we imagine that a quality side like Miami would do a lot of damage against them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawInter Miami
40.46% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1) 22.98% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01) 36.56% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 65.33% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.18% (0.084000000000003 0.08)35.82% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.1% (0.092999999999996 0.09)57.89% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)18.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)49.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (0.087999999999994 0.09)20.05% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (0.144 0.14)52.27% (-0.146 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 40.46%
    Inter Miami 36.56%
    Draw 22.97%
CF MontrealDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 40.46%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.66% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.56%

How you voted: Montreal vs Inter Miami

CF Montreal
Draw
Inter Miami
CF Montreal
8.2%
Draw
8.2%
Inter Miami
83.7%
49
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 9pm
Inter Miami
2-3
Montreal
Campana (71'), Alba (80')
Redondo (19'), Aviles (49'), Krivtsov (57'), Campana (86'), Allen (90+3')
Alvarez (13'), Coccaro (75'), Sunusi (78')
Vilsaint (63'), Edwards (90+3')
May 28, 2023 12.30am
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96121311219
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City93241113-211
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto9144813-57
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas92161519-47
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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