Major League Soccer

Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Stade Saputo

Montreal
2 - 2
Orlando City

Toye (16'), Lassiter (88')
Sosa (10'), Sirois (20'), Waterman (77'), Lassiter (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Torres (22' pen.), Angulo (90+2')
Jansson (8'), Araujo (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Orlando City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: DC United 2-3 Orlando City
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: CF Montreal 1-1 Orlando City

Both sides have experienced their share of hardships to this stage of the season, though they have each been relatively resilient at the same time. That resilience has us leaning towards a draw for these two teams, who are usually fairly resolute at the back despite what many of their results this year may indicate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Orlando City
42.72% ( -0.16)	24.71% ( 0.05)	32.57% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 57.88% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.89% (

-0.23)

45.11% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.54% (

-0.22)

67.46% (

0.22)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.82% (

-0.17)

21.17% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.95% (

-0.26)

54.04% (

0.26)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.43% (

-0.05)

26.57% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.21% (

-0.07)

61.78% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 42.72%

Orlando City 32.57%

Draw 24.7%

CF Montreal	Draw	Orlando City
2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.72%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.7%	1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.57%