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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
Montreal Impact

Orlando City
0 - 0
Montreal


Cartagena (31'), McGuire (45+3'), Felipe (90')
FT

Lassiter (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cavalry 0-3 Orlando City
Thursday, February 22 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Montreal
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-0 CF Montreal

The Lions have not lost their opening fixture in this competition since 2021, and their team chemistry should allow them to settle into this match quicker than Le CFM. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawCF Montreal
50.89% (-0.249 -0.25) 24.16% (0.108 0.11) 24.95% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 54.42% (-0.21 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (-0.34500000000001 -0.35)47.27% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (-0.32 -0.32)69.49% (0.32299999999999 0.32)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)18.59% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.13% (-0.388 -0.39)49.87% (0.39100000000001 0.39)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)33.15% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)69.76% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 50.89%
    CF Montreal 24.95%
    Draw 24.15%
Orlando CityDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 50.89%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.8% (0.085 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 24.95%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Montreal

Orlando City
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
CF Montreal
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
3-0
Montreal
Sirois (19' og.), Dan Thor­halls­son (50'), Torres (54')
Enrique (68'), Araujo (75')

Campbell (24'), Corbo (60'), Saliba (69')
Oct 17, 2022 1am
First Round
Montreal
2-0
Orlando City
Kone (68'), Mihailovic (90+9' pen.)
May 7, 2022 9pm
Montreal
4-1
Orlando City
Waterman (21'), Mihailovic (52'), Torres (81'), Brault-Guillard (84')
Waterman (24'), Mihailovic (42'), Quioto (55'), Piette (79')
Moutinho (72')
Kara (68'), Williams (89')
Feb 27, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 2
Orlando City
2-0
Montreal
Pato (49'), Michel (59')
Araujo (56'), Jansson (66'), Moutinho (85')
Jansson (81')

Wanyama (87'), Waterman (90+4'), Torres (90+5')
Quioto (66')
rhs 2.0
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