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Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Houston Dynamo

Montreal
1 - 1
Houston

Lappalainen (90+6')
Piette (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Artur (10')
Ibrahim (18'), Bartlow (56'), Carrasquilla (62'), Quinones (84'), Escobar (90+3'), Baird (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 Montreal
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-0 Dallas
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-2 Houston Dynamo

It is usually very good or very poor with Montreal, with their 11 wins and 16 defeats from 31 MLS games this season, but with the pressure on against tough opposition, this could be a struggle. The post-cup-win hangover can be forgiven after an uneventful draw at the weekend, but Houston could well return to winning ways here.

How to watch

You can watch CF Montreal vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
CF MontrealDrawHouston Dynamo
47.89% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.48% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 26.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.56% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)51.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.75% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.25% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.012 -0.01)21.49% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)54.53% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.3% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.7% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 47.9%
    Houston Dynamo 26.63%
    Draw 25.48%
CF MontrealDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 47.9%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 26.63%

How you voted: Montreal vs Houston

CF Montreal
Draw
Houston Dynamo
CF Montreal
16.7%
Draw
25.0%
Houston Dynamo
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 2am
Houston
2-3
Montreal
Ferreira (12'), Steres (36')
Quioto (15' pen.), Johnston (28'), Lappalainen (69')
Nov 3, 2021 11.30pm
Gameweek 45
Montreal
2-0
Houston
Camacho (58'), Miller (63')
Breza (90+1')

Hoffmann (44'), Lassiter (53'), Carrasquilla (85')
Apr 18, 2020 6pm
Mar 9, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 2
Houston
2-1
Montreal
Rodriguez (36'), Manotas (86')
Garcia (74'), Quioto (77')
Taider (34')
Sagna (77'), Cabrera (88')
Jun 3, 2018 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Montreal
1-0
Houston
Vargas (44')
Edwards (65')

Elis (29'), Gil (33'), Lundqvist (69'), Martinez (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96121311219
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City93241113-211
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto9144813-57
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas92161519-47
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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