Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
60.14% ( -0.49) | 21.35% ( 0.21) | 18.51% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 54.52% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.27% ( -0.51) | 42.73% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.87% ( -0.51) | 65.13% ( 0.51) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.2% ( -0.31) | 13.79% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.88% ( -0.63) | 41.12% ( 0.63) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.24% ( 0.01) | 36.76% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.45% ( 0.01) | 73.54% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.04% Total : 60.14% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.35% | 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.52% Total : 18.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 41 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 36 |
9 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 18 |