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Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Minnesota United

NY City
0 - 2
Minnesota Utd


Sands (32'), Pellegrini (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gregus (53'), Garcia (90+5')
Trapp (60'), Reynoso (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 NY City
Sunday, July 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, July 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 Minnesota United

The Pigeons have been underwhelming through much of the 2023 campaign but made some good signings during the secondary transfer window, which should enable them to be more clinical in the attacking third. Meanwhile, Minnesota have been a lot more potent in front of goal lately but not nearly as sharp on the back end, and we expect them to give up as many chances as they create on Sunday.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawMinnesota United
55.52% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 22.79% (0.0019999999999989 0) 21.68% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)15.96% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.75% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)45.25% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)34.66% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (0.016999999999999 0.02)71.39% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 55.52%
    Minnesota United 21.68%
    Draw 22.79%
New York City FCDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.47%
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 55.52%
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 21.68%

How you voted: NY City vs Minnesota Utd

New York City FC
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Minnesota United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 8
Minnesota Utd
3-3
NY City
Alonso (13'), Rodriguez (20'), Johnson (32' og.)
Alonso (8'), Calvo (70')
Castellanos (16'), Tajouri (18', 64')
Sep 30, 2018 1am
Gameweek 36
Minnesota Utd
2-1
NY City
Rodriguez (20', 36')
Warner (45'), Calvo (54'), Shuttleworth (89')
Warner (77')
Wallace (91')
Ring (21')
Jun 30, 2017 12.30am
NY City
3-1
Minnesota Utd
Callens (38'), Harrison (52'), Villa (63')
Wallace (0'), 68 (0'), Villa (45')
Ramirez (9')
Molino (23'), Venegas (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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