Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a New York City FC win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
55.99% ( 1.82) | 22.49% ( -0.48) | 21.52% ( -1.34) |
Both teams to score 55.68% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.41% ( 0.56) | 43.59% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.02% ( 0.55) | 65.98% ( -0.55) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.59% ( 0.82) | 15.41% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.77% ( 1.51) | 44.23% ( -1.51) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.82% ( -0.92) | 34.18% ( 0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.13% ( -1) | 70.87% ( 1) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.99% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.14% Total : 21.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 41 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 36 |
9 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 18 |