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Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
New York City

Orlando City
1 - 1
NY City

Kara (7')
Smith (33'), McGuire (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Segal (89')
Chanot (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Orlando City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-0 NY City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-0 New York City FC

 Orlando City's disappointing home record, coupled with New York City's poor form on their travels, makes this a very tough match to call, but we expect the hosts to eke out a narrow victory. The Lions managed to win their last match on home soil, while the Pigeons have recorded two draws and five defeats in seven matches, and there have been no recent signs of improvement.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
44.48% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 25.95% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 29.58% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.37% (0.14 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35% (0.178 0.18)51.66% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56% (0.154 0.15)73.44% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (0.090000000000003 0.09)23.14% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.99% (0.13 0.13)57.01% (-0.126 -0.13)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.14% (0.10599999999999 0.11)31.86% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.7% (0.121 0.12)68.3% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 44.48%
    New York City FC 29.58%
    Draw 25.95%
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.48%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.37% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.58%

How you voted: Orlando City vs NY City

Orlando City
57.1%
Draw
42.9%
New York City FC
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
NY City
2-1
Orlando City
Callens (66'), Magno (81')
Torres (47')
Araujo (57')
Aug 29, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
NY City
Urso (7'), Akindele (90+6')
Carlos (50')
Moralez (53')
Haak (45+1'), Moralez (89'), Chanot (90+3')
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
gameweek 19
NY City
5-0
Orlando City
Medina (40'), Tajouri (53'), Moralez (66'), Meineche (79'), Castellanos (82')
Acevedo (74')

Carlos (41'), Schlegel (86')
May 8, 2021 11pm
gameweek 6
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Nani (52')
Smith (34')
Castellanos (77' pen.)
Sands (64')
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
First Round
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
 Orlando City win 4-3 on penalties
Nani (5' pen.)
Carlos (71'), Ruan (77'), Jansson (90+4'), Perea (90+6'), Gallese (103')
Ruan (87')
Chanot (8')
Castellanos (70'), Mackay-Steven (88'), Ibeagha (120+2')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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