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Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
Atlanta United

Orlando City
1 - 1
Atlanta

Smith (30')
Carlos (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wolff (86')
Hernandez (66'), Rossetto (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-3 Atlanta
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-1 Atlanta United

 Both sides are in similar veins of form, so we do not think there will be a great deal to separate the sides on Sunday. Orlando have been poor at home this season, while Atlanta are on a six-game winless run on the road, so we think the sides will share the spoils.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
42.92% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 25% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 32.08% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.68% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.4% (-0.052 -0.05)46.6% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.13% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)68.87% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)21.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)54.88% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)27.61% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)63.14% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 42.92%
    Atlanta United 32.08%
    Draw 25%
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.08%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Atlanta

Orlando City
52.9%
Draw
38.2%
Atlanta United
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2022 11.55pm
Orlando City
0-1
Atlanta

Cartagena (37')
Almada (72')
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
1-1
Orlando City
Sanchez (71')
Sejdic (45+1'), McFadden (59'), Araujo (90')
Pereyra (10')
Urso (36'), Pereyra (69'), Michel (73'), Ruan (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 12am
gameweek 29
Atlanta
3-0
Orlando City
Campbell (25'), Dike (38' og.), Barco (72')
Franco (34'), Campbell (45+1'), Sosa (81')

Carlos (37')
Jul 31, 2021 1am
gameweek 20
Orlando City
3-2
Atlanta
Smith (43'), Van der Water (79'), Nani (87')
Perea (64')
Martinez (1'), Moreno (66')
Franco (86')
Apr 17, 2021 8pm
gameweek 1
Orlando City
0-0
Atlanta
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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