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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Orlando City

Inter Miami
1 - 3
Orlando City

Campana (57')
Campana (16'), Cremaschi (75'), Fray (89'), McVey (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kara (19'), Ojeda (68'), Santos (86')
Carlos (23'), Cartagena (36'), Angulo (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY City
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 Orlando City

Just one point separates Inter Miami and Orlando in the MLS table, indicating they are very evenly-matches sides, but we expect the hosts to emerge with a narrow victory. The Herons have won their last three games at the DRV PNK Stadium, the most recent of which coming against a very strong New England Revolution side, so they should have enough about them to take all three points on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
45.24% (1.467 1.47) 25.13% (-0.199 -0.2) 29.63% (-1.264 -1.26)
Both teams to score 55.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.79% (0.282 0.28)48.22% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (0.258 0.26)70.37% (-0.252 -0.25)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (0.79000000000001 0.79)21.33% (-0.785 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.71% (1.204 1.2)54.29% (-1.198 -1.2)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (-0.72900000000001 -0.73)30.06% (0.734 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (-0.888 -0.89)66.19% (0.89400000000001 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 45.24%
    Orlando City 29.63%
    Draw 25.12%
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.121 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.271 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.228 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.121 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.24%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.249 -0.25)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.248 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.63%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
4-1
Orlando City
Campana (1'), Higuain (38', 52' pen.), Lassiter (56')
Kara (71')
Carlos (59')
Jul 10, 2022 3.24am
Orlando City
1-0
Inter Miami
Lowe (90+2' og.)
Smith (45+3')

Duke (52')
Aug 28, 2021 1.30am
gameweek 27
Orlando City
0-0
Inter Miami

Jansson (51')

Pizarro (63'), Makoun (85')
Aug 5, 2021 1am
gameweek 22
Orlando City
1-1
Inter Miami
Carlos (45+1')
Urso (56'), Rosell (85')
Gibbs (66')
Pizarro (68')
Jun 26, 2021 1am
gameweek 13
Inter Miami
1-2
Orlando City
Higuain (67')
Ulloa (62'), Matuidi (71'), Gonzalez Pirez (79')
Mueller (73'), Nani (80')
Pereyra (10'), Urso (62'), Mueller (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami29196467432463
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati29174850371355
3Columbus Crew28158554282653
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls29101364537843
5Orlando City29127104741643
6New York City FCNY City29117114242040
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC29108113233-138
8Toronto30113163853-1536
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2989125347633
10DC United2989124457-1333
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2988133842-432
12Nashville SCNashville2988132944-1532
13CF MontrealMontreal29710123961-2231
14Chicago Fire3078153652-1629
15New England RevolutionNew England2884163256-2428

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy30167759441555
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake29148757421550
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles28147751371449
4Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
5Colorado RapidsColorado29145105650647
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver28137847361146
7Houston DynamoHouston2912984233945
8Portland TimbersPortland291271060501043
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd29116124848039
10Austin FCAustin2998123241-935
11Dallas2997134648-234
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3087154956-731
13St Louis City29513114156-1528
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2953213667-3118


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