Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.