Major League Soccer

May 14, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
1 - 3
Charlotte FC

Sanchez (86')
Ibarra (71'), Lennon (87')
Gutman (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Meram (18', 57'), Swiderski (52' pen.)
Sobocinski (59'), Gaines (90+8'), Byrne (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Charlotte FC

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-2 NY City
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Charlotte FC

Atlanta will be disappointed with their last three results, but having won four of their five home games in the MLS this season, we think that the Five Stripes will return to winning ways against a Charlotte side that have lost three of their five away games in the 2023 campaign.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Charlotte FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Charlotte FC
62.07% ( -0.35)	20% ( 0.23)	17.92% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 58.14% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.56% (

-0.87)

37.43% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.34% (

-0.94)

59.65% (

0.93)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.4% (

-0.36)

11.59% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.43% (

-0.77)

36.57% (

0.76)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.76% (

-0.39)

34.23% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.06% (

-0.42)

70.93% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 62.07%

Charlotte FC 17.92%

Draw 20%

Atlanta United	Draw	Charlotte FC
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.62% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.29% Total : 62.07%	1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20%	1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 17.92%