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Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Philadelphia Union

NY City
1 - 3
Philadelphia

Pereira (30')
Gray (38'), Martins (49'), O'Toole (61')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Carranza (45+1', 45+3'), Gazdag (53' pen.)
Glesnes (29'), Uhre (69'), Bueno (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY City
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 1-2 Philadelphia Union

The Union appear to be hitting their stride, while New York are trying to get their groove back, and although the home side have more individual quality to boast, continuity can often be a determining factor, something the Union have in abundance.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
51.83% (-0.137 -0.14) 24.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 23.84% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)48.93% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)71.02% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)18.86% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.67% (-0.108 -0.11)50.32% (0.102 0.1)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98% (0.076999999999998 0.08)35.01% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24% (0.079999999999998 0.08)71.75% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 51.82%
    Philadelphia Union 23.84%
    Draw 24.32%
New York City FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 51.82%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 23.84%

Head to Head
Oct 31, 2022 12am
Jun 26, 2022 11pm
Philadelphia
2-1
NY City
Uhre (9'), Burke (90+6')
Carranza (81')
Castellanos (88' pen.)
Rodriguez (13'), Callens (80'), Castellanos (81'), Moralez (88')
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
NY City
0-2
Philadelphia

Jasson (11'), Rodriguez (52'), Castellanos (73'), Magno (85')
Bedoya (12'), Gazdag (33')
Carranza (14'), Gazdag (67'), Wagner (73'), Burke (74')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Philadelphia
1-2
NY City
Callens (63' og.)
Monteiro (71'), Mbaizo (75')
Moralez (65'), Magno (88')
Moralez (41')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 44
NY City
1-1
Philadelphia
Castellanos (53')
Medina (82')
Zelalem (21')
Przybylko (27')
Glesnes (25'), Wagner (31'), Andres Martinez (50'), Bedoya (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218


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