Major League Soccer

Jun 11, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
3 - 1
DC United

Giakoumakis (13'), Gutman (49'), Wolff (73')
Fortune (41'), Pineda (42'), Giakoumakis (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fountas (27')
Pines (51'), Birnbaum (69'), Klich (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 0-0 Atlanta
Thursday, June 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 DC United
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 DC United

Atlanta have been strong at home this season, winning five of their eight matches, but DC United have picked up points in five of their nine games on their travels, and we just have a feeling that a tight game on Saturday will finish with the points being shared.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. DC United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for DC United had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	DC United
58.72% ( 0.12)	21.74% ( -0.05)	19.54% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 55.07% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1% (

0.14)

42.9% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.7% (

0.14)

65.3% (

-0.14)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.71% (

0.08)

14.29% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.91% (

0.16)

42.09% (

-0.16)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.25% (

0.01)

35.75% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.48% (

0.01)

72.52% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 58.72%

DC United 19.54%

Draw 21.74%

Atlanta United	Draw	DC United
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 58.72%	1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.74%	1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.54%