Major League Soccer

Jun 1, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
1 - 3
Cincinnati

Cufre (64')
Cufre (41'), Chanot (53'), Sands (56'), Gray (58'), Pereira (66'), Alfaro (82'), Morales (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Acosta (38'), Barreal (59'), Vazquez (70' pen.)
Mosquera (43'), Vazquez (45+5'), Acosta (50'), Gaddis (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 28 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: New York City FC 2-1 FC Cincinnati

The Pigeons have not been as poor as their record indicates but have been guilty of a few mental errors, which we believe they will correct come Wednesday. Cincinnati have been grinding out their share of results, and given they have a similar approach to the Union, we believe New York will have a slight advantage, having played Philly just days ago.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	FC Cincinnati
55.31% ( -0)	22.4% ( 0)	22.28% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.06% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.74% (

-0.01)

42.26% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.33% (

-0)

64.66% (

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.83% (

-0)

15.17% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.22% (

-0.01)

43.78% (

0.01)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.27% (

-0)

32.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.71%

69.28% (

-0)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 55.31%

FC Cincinnati 22.28%

Draw 22.4%

New York City FC	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.79% Total : 55.31%	1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 5.51% 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.4%	1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.1% 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.42% Total : 22.28%