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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Aug 27, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
New York City

Cincinnati
3 - 0
NY City

Boupendza (6'), Moreno (52'), Hagglund (59')
Miazga (45'), Kubo (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Risa (88'), Perea (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-3 Inter Miami (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 24 at 12am in US Open Cup

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 0-2 Minnesota Utd
Monday, August 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-1 New York City FC

 Both sides have suffered their share of disappointing results of late, but the Orange and Blue have to be feeling a lot better about their position in the table when compared to the Boys in Blue. The difference in this one could boil down to quality, and that is something Cincinnati should have a decisive edge in, as the Pigeons have been hesitant and unsure of themselves in the attacking third all year.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York City FC
54.39% (-1.378 -1.38) 24.77% (0.542 0.54) 20.85% (0.841 0.84)
Both teams to score 47.7% (-0.349 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.28% (-1.095 -1.1)53.72% (1.101 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.8% (-0.931 -0.93)75.2% (0.93599999999999 0.94)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (-0.953 -0.95)19.7% (0.957 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (-1.575 -1.58)51.71% (1.581 1.58)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.41% (0.268 0.27)40.6% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.81% (0.239 0.24)77.2% (-0.23400000000001 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 54.38%
    New York City FC 20.85%
    Draw 24.76%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 12.99% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 10.55% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.277 -0.28)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 54.38%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 8% (0.339 0.34)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.355 0.36)
1-2 @ 5.28% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.182 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 20.85%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY City

FC Cincinnati
100%
Draw
0.0%
New York City FC
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2023 12.30am
NY City
1-3
Cincinnati
Cufre (64')
Cufre (41'), Chanot (53'), Sands (56'), Gray (58'), Pereira (66'), Alfaro (82'), Morales (88')
Acosta (38'), Barreal (59'), Vazquez (70' pen.)
Mosquera (43'), Vazquez (45+5'), Acosta (50'), Gaddis (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 8, 2022 1am
NY City
1-1
Cincinnati
> Preview
Jun 30, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
4-4
NY City
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 33
Cincinnati
1-2
NY City
Brenner (4')
Cameron (48'), Barreal (74')
Barreal (85'), Atanga (90+5')
Parks (37'), Castellanos (60' pen.)
Tajouri (26'), Morales (69'), Jasson (77'), Johnson (83'), Callens (90+7')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 2
NY City
5-0
Cincinnati
Medina (7', 83'), Hagglund (53' og.), Thorarinsson (57'), Castellanos (67')
Thorarinsson (50'), Castellanos (60')

Harris (10'), Cruz (56')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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