US Open Cup | Semi-Finals

Aug 24, 2023 at 12am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
3 - 3
Inter Miami

Acosta (18'), Vazquez (53'), Kubo (114')
Nwobodo (31'), Acosta (85'), Barreal (90'), Powell (111'), Arias (117')

FT
(aet)

Campana (68', 90+7'), Martinez (93')
Alba (24'), Daniel Martino (25'), Mota (41'), Aviles (70'), Krivtsov (80')

Inter Miami win 5-4 on penalties

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the US Open Cup Semi-Finals clash between FC Cincinnati and Inter Miami.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

US Open Cup

Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-0 Cincinnati
Monday, August 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Inter Miami

All competitions

US Open Cup

Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 16 at 1.59am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%).

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Inter Miami
50.12% ( -0.03)	24.02% ( 0.01)	25.85% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.77% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.1% (

-0.06)

45.89% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.79% (

-0.05)

68.2% (

0.05)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.63% (

-0.04)

18.36% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.51% (

-0.06)

49.48% (

0.05)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.31% (

-0.02)

31.68% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.89% (

-0.02)

68.1% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 50.12%

Inter Miami 25.85%

Draw 24.02%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 50.12%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.02%	0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 25.85%