Cincy are not nearly as susceptible along the back end as the Revs or Columbus, and like Pittsburgh, they have won their share of close 1-0 games throughout the campaign. Expect the Hounds to try and swarm the Orange and Blue with numerous players behind the ball, it is just difficult to envision the visitors creating much against such a deep squad like Cincinnati, let alone keep them off the scoresheet for 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pittsburgh Riverhounds had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Pittsburgh Riverhounds
52.81% ( 1.28)	25.29% ( 0.17)	21.9% ( -1.45)

Both teams to score 47.58% (

-2.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.41% (

-2.01)

54.58% (

2.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.07% (

-1.7)

75.93% (

1.69)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.32% (

-0.28)

20.68% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.72% (

-0.44)

53.27% (

0.43)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.99% (

-2.54)

40.01% (

2.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.34% (

-2.41)

76.66% (

2.4)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 52.79%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 21.9%

Draw 25.28%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.88) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.4% Total : 52.79%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.63) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.34) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.9%