Major League Soccer

Jul 16, 2023 at 1.59am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
3 - 0
Inter Miami

Adeniran (28'), Parker (40'), Lowen (80')
Yaro (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cremaschi (70'), Miller (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 St Louis City
Thursday, July 13 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: DC United 2-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: St Louis City 2-0 Inter Miami

As Inter have conceded 15 goals in their last seven league matches, their second away win of the MLS season is surely not on the agenda this weekend. St Louis have won seven of their 11 games at home this season, and we expect them to be too strong for Miami here.

How to watch

You can watch St Louis City vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Inter Miami
47.73% ( 2.06)	24.24% ( -0.78)	28.03% ( -1.28)

Both teams to score 56.92% (

1.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.76% (

2.67)

45.24% (

-2.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.42% (

2.51)

67.58% (

-2.5)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.94% (

1.95)

19.06% (

-1.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.35% (

3.14)

50.65% (

-3.13)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32% (

0.45)

29.68% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.27% (

0.54)

65.73% (

-0.54)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 47.74%

Inter Miami 28.03%

Draw 24.24%

St Louis City	Draw	Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.5) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.29) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.22% Total : 47.74%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.67) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.72) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.25% Total : 28.03%