This match might not be as straightforward as it appears on paper, with Colorado better than what they have shown for much of the season. St Louis' recent form has also not exactly been terrific, but we are backing the team at the top of the division to secure a vital win on Saturday.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.