Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.