Major League Soccer

Jun 4, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena, Harrison

NY Red Bulls
0 - 3
Orlando City

Yearwood (30'), Reyes (45+3'), Nealis (50')
Reyes (47')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Angulo (18'), Torres (52' pen., 72')
Jansson (45+6'), Santos (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, June 1 at 1.15am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, May 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-1 Orlando City

New York Red Bulls are a much-improved side under the helm of Lesesne, and they have won their last two MLS home games, but Orlando City have made a habit out of drawing against decent opposition in recent weeks. As such, we expect the spoils to be shared on Saturday in what is likely to be a low-scoring game, given NY Red Bulls' stellar defensive record.

How to watch

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Orlando City
53.88% ( 0.01)	26.14% ( 0.11)	19.97% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 42.86% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.51% (

-0.48)

59.49% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.15% (

-0.37)

79.85% (

0.37)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.76% (

-0.19)

22.24% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.33% (

-0.29)

55.67% (

0.3)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.11% (

-0.41)

44.89% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.16% (

-0.33)

80.85% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 53.87%

Orlando City 19.97%

Draw 26.14%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 15% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 53.87%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 8% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.71% Total : 19.97%