Major League Soccer

Aug 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
2 - 3
Montreal

Bernardeschi (66', 90+4')
Servania (45+5')
Petretta (77')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Choiniere (18', 79' pen.), Mabika (25' og.)
Campbell (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 Toronto
Sunday, July 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, July 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Toronto 1-0 CF Montreal

Sunday might be the best opportunity for Toronto to end their lengthy losing run, as Montreal have looked unhinged and out of sorts away from home, which we believe the Reds can take advantage of.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	CF Montreal
45.55% ( -0)	25.34%	29.11% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.04% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.64% (

49.36% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.59% (

71.41% (

-0)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.33% (

21.67% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.2% (

54.8%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98% (

31.01% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.67% (

0.01)

67.32% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Toronto 45.55%

CF Montreal 29.11%

Draw 25.34%

Toronto	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.55%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 7.87% 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.11%