Major League Soccer

Jul 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Exploria Stadium

Orlando City
4 - 0
Toronto

Araujo (16'), McGuire (22'), Dan Thorhallsson (77'), Kara (84')
Gallese (62')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coello (45+1'), Bernardeschi (47'), Petretta (80')
Bernardeschi (62')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 3-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Orlando City 1-0 Toronto

As Toronto have only scored seven away goals and are yet to win on the road, a team under interim management and shorn of several international stars is set to come up short once more. Orlando seemed to find their rhythm during Saturday's convincing win and will surely score at least once.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Toronto
61.6% ( -0)	20.91%	17.49%

Both teams to score 54.01% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.57% (

-0)

42.43% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.16% (

-0)

64.84% (

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.74% (

-0)

13.26% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.95% (

-0)

40.05% (

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.27% (

-0)

37.73% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.49% (

-0)

74.51% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 61.59%

Toronto 17.49%

Draw 20.91%

Orlando City	Draw	Toronto
2-0 @ 10.21% 1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 6.7% 4-0 @ 3.47% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.27% 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.2% Total : 61.59%	1-1 @ 9.85% 0-0 @ 5% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.91%	0-1 @ 4.88% 1-2 @ 4.8% 0-2 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.58% 1-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.3% Total : 17.49%