Major League Soccer
Jul 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
We said: Orlando City 1-0 Toronto
As Toronto have only scored seven away goals and are yet to win on the road, a team under interim management and shorn of several international stars is set to come up short once more. Orlando seemed to find their rhythm during Saturday's convincing win and will surely score at least once.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 61.6% . A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.49% .
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.95%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%) , while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.88%) . The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
Result Orlando City Draw Toronto 61.6% ( -0) 20.91% 17.49%
Both teams to score 54.01% ( -0)
57.57% ( -0) 42.43% ( 0)
35.16% ( -0) 64.84% ( 0)
86.74% ( -0) 13.26% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 59.95% ( -0) 40.05% ( 0)
62.27% ( -0) 37.73% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.49% ( -0) 74.51% ( -0)
Orlando City 61.59%
Toronto 17.49%
Draw 20.91%
Orlando City Draw Toronto 2-0 @ 10.21% 1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 6.7% 4-0 @ 3.47% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.27% 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.2% Total : 61.59% 1-1 @ 9.85% 0-0 @ 5% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.91% 0-1 @ 4.88% 1-2 @ 4.8% 0-2 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.58% 1-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.3% Total : 17.49%
How you voted: Orlando City vs Toronto
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rhs 2.0
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