Major League Soccer

Jul 16, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire
1 - 0
Toronto

Przybylko (90')
Czichos (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Petretta (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-0 Montreal
Thursday, July 13 at 2.44am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 0-1 St Louis City
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Chicago Fire 2-0 Toronto

There are little to no signs of improvement in Toronto as they look out of sorts and, at times, unmotivated when in possession. Meanwhile, the Fire have tightened up defensively and given that only three points currently separate them in ninth from New York City FC in 13th, they will know that the time is now to try to put some distance between themselves and the clubs chasing them.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chicago Fire.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Toronto
56.45% ( 0)	23.97% ( 0)	19.58% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.14% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.84% (

-0.01)

52.16% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.12% (

-0.01)

73.87% (

0.01)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.68% (

-0)

18.32% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.59% (

-0.01)

49.41% (

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.93% (

-0.01)

41.06% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.39% (

-0.01)

77.61% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 56.44%

Toronto 19.58%

Draw 23.97%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Toronto
1-0 @ 12.76% 2-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 56.44%	1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.97%	0-1 @ 6.69% 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 19.58%