We said: Chicago Fire 2-0 CF Montreal
The Fire have been a lot sharper along the back end in recent outings, and we expect to see a highly motivated Kamara in the mood to do some damage to his former team.
Montreal do not seem to have the same swagger on the road that we saw a year ago, and they have not been all that convincing when in possession over the past few weeks.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.