Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | St Louis City |
62.98% ( -0.62) | 20.37% ( 0.02) | 16.64% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 54.07% ( 1.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.51% ( 1.08) | 41.48% ( -1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.11% ( 1.08) | 63.88% ( -1.08) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.43% ( 0.16) | 12.56% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.37% ( 0.32) | 38.63% ( -0.31) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.83% ( 1.41) | 38.16% ( -1.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.07% ( 1.33) | 74.93% ( -1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | St Louis City |
2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.48% Total : 62.98% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 41 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 36 |
9 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 18 |