Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 70.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 12.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Kansas City.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | St Louis City |
70.66% (![]() | 17.16% (![]() | 12.18% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.51% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.65% (![]() | 36.35% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.52% (![]() | 58.48% (![]() |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.85% (![]() | 9.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.96% (![]() | 31.04% (![]() |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.9% (![]() | 41.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.35% (![]() | 77.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | St Louis City |
2-0 @ 10.75% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.56% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.57% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.62% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.49% Total : 70.65% | 1-1 @ 8% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.16% | 1-2 @ 3.56% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 1.48% Total : 12.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |