We said: St Louis City 3-1 Dallas
St Louis were denied a point at Orlando late on last time out, and we are expecting Carnell's men to come out with a positive response at CITYPARK in this clash.
Dallas have struggled massively on their travels this term, and we cannot envisage them earning anything from their trip to Missouri to face the Western Conference leaders on Wednesday night.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Louis City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for St Louis City.