Major League Soccer
Sep 3, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
We said: CF Montreal 1-2 Columbus Crew
Trading away a couple of centre-backs in Camacho and Kamal Miller earlier this season has left Le CFM relatively thin at that position, and fatigue could play a factor for that backline this weekend given how much they still have to play for and so much defensive inexperience on this roster outside of their new back three.
Nancy knows this Montreal side well and should be able to create an effective game plan to expose his former team on the counter.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 48.21% . A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.71%) . The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%) . The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result CF Montreal Draw Columbus Crew 48.21% ( 2.82) 25.43% ( -0.11) 26.37% ( -2.72)
Both teams to score 51.77% ( -1.62)
48.61% ( -1.19) 51.39% ( 1.19)
26.79% ( -1.05) 73.2% ( 1.05)
78.67% ( 0.77) 21.33% ( -0.77)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.71% ( 1.17) 54.28% ( -1.17)
65.8% ( -2.73) 34.2% ( 2.72)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.11% ( -3.04) 70.89% ( 3.04)
CF Montreal 48.2%
Columbus Crew 26.37%
Draw 25.42%
CF Montreal Draw Columbus Crew 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.77) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.78) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.5) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.2% 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.42% 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.37%
How you voted: Montreal vs Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
Draw
Columbus Crew
6
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-26 13:28:43
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