Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Toronto |
74.42% ( -0.19) | 15.45% ( 0.1) | 10.13% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.56% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.08% ( -0.27) | 33.93% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.22% ( -0.31) | 55.78% ( 0.31) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.27% ( -0.1) | 7.74% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.47% ( -0.26) | 27.53% ( 0.26) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.96% ( -0.04) | 43.04% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.68% ( -0.03) | 79.32% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Toronto |
2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 74.42% | 1-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.45% | 1-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 10.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |