Major League Soccer

Sep 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
4 - 1
Vancouver

Herrera (13'), Dorsey (44'), Franco (73'), Ibrahim (84')
Kowalczyk (30'), Sviatchenko (36'), Baird (49'), Dorsey (52'), Micael (60')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sviatchenko (90' og.)
Raposo (2'), Cubas (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Houston 1-1 St Louis City
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Vancouver
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

That lopsided defeat that Orange Crush suffered versus the Caps earlier this year seems like the perfect motivation for them heading into this encounter, and when you put that together with their solid form and stingy backline at Shell Energy Stadium, it feels as though it might be too much for even a resilient Vancouver side to overcome.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
49.22% ( 0.06)	24.18% ( -0)	26.59% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 55.92% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.98% (

-0.05)

46.01% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.68% (

-0.05)

68.32% (

0.05)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.23% (

18.76% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.84% (

0.01)

50.16% (

-0.01)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.83% (

-0.08)

31.16% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.5% (

-0.09)

67.49% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 49.22%

Vancouver Whitecaps 26.59%

Draw 24.18%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 49.22%	1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.18%	0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 26.59%