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Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Vancouver Whitecaps

Houston
4 - 1
Vancouver

Herrera (13'), Dorsey (44'), Franco (73'), Ibrahim (84')
Kowalczyk (30'), Sviatchenko (36'), Baird (49'), Dorsey (52'), Micael (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sviatchenko (90' og.)
Raposo (2'), Cubas (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 St Louis City
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Vancouver
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

 That lopsided defeat that Orange Crush suffered versus the Caps earlier this year seems like the perfect motivation for them heading into this encounter, and when you put that together with their solid form and stingy backline at Shell Energy Stadium, it feels as though it might be too much for even a resilient Vancouver side to overcome.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawVancouver Whitecaps
49.22% (0.061 0.06) 24.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 26.59% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.92% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (-0.055 -0.05)46.01% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.68% (-0.052 -0.05)68.32% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.76% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)31.16% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)67.49% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 49.22%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 26.59%
    Draw 24.18%
Houston DynamoDrawVancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 49.22%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 6.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 26.59%

How you voted: Houston vs Vancouver

Houston Dynamo
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Vancouver Whitecaps
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2023 3.30am
Vancouver
6-2
Houston
Vite (1'), Gressel (18', 59'), White (46'), Berhalter (88'), Gauld (90+5')
Gressel (41'), Laborda (71'), Cordova (79')
Baird (8'), Bassi (16')
Micael (66'), Carrasquilla (69'), Clark (85')
Quinones (69')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 3.30am
Vancouver
2-1
Houston
Becher (89'), Cavallini (90+2')
Picault (6')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 11.30pm
Houston
2-1
Vancouver
Quintero (33', 50')
Ulfarsson (87')
Cavallini (14')
Brown (28'), Veselinovic (80')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2021 2am
Gameweek 37
Houston
0-0
Vancouver
> Preview
Jul 21, 2021 3am
Gameweek 19
Vancouver
0-0
Houston
Rose (24'), Alexandre (83')
Hadebe (42'), Junqua (56'), Picault (83')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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