Major League Soccer

Jul 16, 2023 at 3.30am UK

BC Place Stadium

Vancouver
4 - 2
LA Galaxy

White (2'), Gauld (10', 23' pen.), Cordova (90+4')
Schopf (48')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Brugman (61'), Delgado (74')
Mavinga (9'), Puig (23')
Mavinga (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 Austin
Thursday, July 13 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, July 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

Both teams have been in relatively good form of late, with the big names like Gauld and Puig stepping up their games in recent outings. In a match that could be played at a very high tempo, whichever backline can withstand an onslaught the best is likely to win, and that is where we believe the Caps hold a decisive edge on LA.

How to watch

You can watch Vancouver Whitecaps vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
53.45% ( 0.05)	22.91% ( -0)	23.64% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 57.1% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.97% (

-0.05)

43.03% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.57% (

-0.05)

65.43% (

0.06)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.92% (

16.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.53% (

-0)

45.46% (

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04% (

-0.07)

31.96% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.58% (

-0.09)

68.42% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 53.45%

Los Angeles Galaxy 23.64%

Draw 22.91%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.45%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.91%	1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 23.64%