Major League Soccer

Jul 5, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
2 - 1
Los Angeles

Boyd (26'), Puig (73')
Edwards (34'), Costa (54'), Aude (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sanchez (57')
Tillman (19'), Maldonado (70'), Duenas (82')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, July 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 2-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, July 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 Los Angeles FC

No matter the territory, Los Angeles Galaxy have shown quite the affinity for sharing the spoils in recent weeks, and they are no stranger to high-scoring affairs in El Trafico. Having scored at least twice in each of their last six Los Angeles showdowns, Vanney's side can feel optimistic of doing so again - especially with Los Angeles FC leaking goals at an alarming rate - but with bragging rights and their podium spot at stake, we can envisage the champions earning a point in another entertaining derby.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Los Angeles FC
41.51% ( -1)	24.18% ( 0.04)	34.31% ( 0.96)

Both teams to score 60.32% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.83% (

0.07)

42.17% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.43% (

0.07)

64.57% (

-0.06)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51% (

-0.42)

20.49% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.03% (

-0.67)

52.97% (

0.68)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.86% (

0.58)

24.14% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.55% (

0.82)

58.45% (

-0.81)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 41.51%

Los Angeles FC 34.31%

Draw 24.18%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.88% Total : 41.51%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.18%	1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.31%