Major League Soccer

Jul 2, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Stanford Stadium

Earthquakes
2 - 2
LA Galaxy

Skahan (42'), Espinoza (81')
Espinoza (20'), Tsakiris (57'), Yueill (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Edwards (31'), Judd (47')
Edwards (39'), Calegari (78'), Aude (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 St Louis City
Sunday, June 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Colorado 0-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 25 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

With the Earthquakes faltering at the same time that LA Galaxy are finding a bit of form, this could prove to be a closer game than many would have been anticipating a few weeks ago. Nevertheless, we have to give the edge to the home side, who could grind out a win by the odd goal in three.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
50.73% ( -0)	23.49% ( -0)	25.78% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.51% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.43% (

0.01)

43.57% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.03% (

0.01)

65.96% (

-0.01)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.74%

17.25% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.42% (

47.57% (

-0)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.5% (

0.01)

30.5% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.28% (

0.01)

66.71% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 50.73%

Los Angeles Galaxy 25.78%

Draw 23.49%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.65% 1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.65% 3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 3.9% Total : 50.73%	1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.49%	1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 25.78%