Major League Soccer

Jun 11, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Stanford Stadium

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Ebobisse (8'), Trauco (57')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lowe (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 0-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 4 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Montreal
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Due to their defensive solidity, San Jose can stay unbeaten at home this season by restricting in-form Philadelphia to a low-scoring draw. The visitors boast a dangerous attack, but their hosts have shown more resilience of late and are particularly tough to beat at PayPal Park.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Philadelphia Union
42.58% ( -1.28)	26.34% ( -0.19)	31.08% ( 1.47)

Both teams to score 51.88% (

1.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.37% (

1.33)

52.63% (

-1.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.72% (

1.13)

74.28% (

-1.13)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.51% (

-0.05)

24.49% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.05% (

-0.07)

58.95% (

0.06)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.71% (

1.74)

31.29% (

-1.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.36% (

1.98)

67.64% (

-1.98)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 42.57%

Philadelphia Union 31.08%

Draw 26.33%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.6) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.57%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.08%