Major League Soccer

Jul 9, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
3 - 1
Philadelphia

Boyd (15'), Mbaizo (45+1' og.), Puig (76')
Judd (45+2'), Costa (68'), Joveljic (70')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Uhre (36')
Andres Martinez (5'), Bedoya (37'), Gazdag (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Los Angeles
Wednesday, July 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, July 2 at 9pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 0-1 Philadelphia Union

Granted, the Galaxy have upped their game in recent weeks, but Philadelphia possess more than enough quality to overcome the Western Conference strugglers. The hosts are expected to put up a decent fight, but we can see Philly notching a narrow victory at Dignity Health Sports Park, enjoying a much-needed return to winning ways.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Philadelphia Union
41.72% ( -0)	24.35% ( 0)	33.93% ( 0)

Both teams to score 59.61% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.95% (

43.05% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.55% (

65.45% (

-0)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.23% (

-0)

20.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.6%

53.4%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23% (

24.76% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.67% (

59.33% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 41.72%

Philadelphia Union 33.93%

Draw 24.35%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 8.87% 1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.72%	1-1 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.35%	1-2 @ 7.87% 0-1 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.93%