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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 at 9pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Atlanta
2 - 0
Philadelphia

Almada (7'), Lennon (79')
Sejdic (70'), Ibarra (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harriel (4'), Carranza (47'), Uhre (65'), Torres (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-0 Atlanta
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-2 Philadelphia Union

Atlanta United will be looking to restore some pride this weekend following their humbling defeat against the Red Bulls. However, they face a Philadelphia Union side who have enjoyed the better of this fixture over the last two years. While home advantage makes the Pineda's men slight favourites, we predict that the visitors will do just enough to force a share of the spoils.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
48.11% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 23.86%28.03% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 58.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.46% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)43.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.07% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)65.93% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.76% (0.0019999999999953 0)18.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.28%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (0.007000000000005 0.01)28.8% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)64.65% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 48.11%
    Philadelphia Union 28.03%
    Draw 23.85%
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.47%
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.37%
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 48.11%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.07%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 28.03%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Philadelphia

Atlanta United
32.1%
Draw
32.1%
Philadelphia Union
35.7%
28
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
4-1
Atlanta
Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Gutman (24')
Sep 25, 2021 8.30pm
Jun 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 11
Atlanta
2-2
Philadelphia
Przybylko (58' og.), Walkes (83')
Lopez (76')
Burke (84'), Glesnes (90+3')
Bedoya (30'), Flach (41'), Fontana (53'), Glesnes (60'), Monteiro (90')
Jun 20, 2020 10.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218


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