Major League Soccer

Sep 17, 2023 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
1 - 2
Vancouver

Kerr (50')
Petretta (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Blackmon (56'), White (66')
Berhalter (32'), Vite (60'), Brown (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Vancouver
Saturday, September 2 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Toronto 1-2 Vancouver Whitecaps

Vancouver are undefeated in five encounters against the Eastern Conference this season, and they look like a well-oiled machine across the board right now, while their key attacking threats remain in fine form. One solid performance is not enough to change the fortunes of Toronto, who have been very inconsistent, while their leaky defence could be under duress against a Vancouver squad that are deadly in transition.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Vancouver Whitecaps and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
39% ( 0.02)	25.06% ( -0)	35.93% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 57.47% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54% (

0.01)

46% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.69% (

0.01)

68.3% (

-0.01)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63% (

0.01)

23.36% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.66% (

0.02)

57.33% (

-0.02)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.99% (

-0.01)

25.01% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.32% (

-0.01)

59.67% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Toronto 39%

Vancouver Whitecaps 35.93%

Draw 25.05%

Toronto	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 39%	1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05%	1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.93%