Major League Soccer

Aug 27, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
2 - 3
Vancouver

Mora (53'), Evander (85')
Evander (34'), Zuparic (51'), Asprilla (63'), Boli (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gauld (13', 60' pen.), White (36')
Cubas (65'), Laryea (90+5'), Takaoka (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 5-0 Portland
Monday, August 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 0-1 Earthquakes
Monday, August 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Portland Timbers 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

We often see the best version of a side in the early tenure of a new manager, but although the Timbers should be very determined to make a statement following that lopsided defeat a week ago, the Caps' desperation and resilience we believe will be enough to earn them a result.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. Vancouver Whitecaps and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
51.54% ( 0.05)	23.27% ( 0.03)	25.19% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 57.62% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.85% (

-0.21)

43.14% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.45% (

-0.2)

65.54% (

0.2)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.2% (

-0.06)

16.8% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.23% (

-0.1)

46.77% (

0.1)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.26% (

-0.17)

30.74% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33% (

-0.2)

67% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 51.54%

Vancouver Whitecaps 25.19%

Draw 23.27%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.54%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.27%	1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 25.19%