Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 11.15pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta2 - 0Orlando City
Lobzhanidze (9'), Giakoumakis (70')
Wiley (23'), Muyumba (45+1'), Silva (51'), Guzan (73'), Almada (90+6')
Wiley (23'), Muyumba (45+1'), Silva (51'), Guzan (73'), Almada (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jansson (49')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atlanta 4-1 New England
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Tigres 4-2 Orlando City
Wednesday, March 13 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Wednesday, March 13 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Orlando City
The Lions are taking on a Five Stripes side brimming with confidence who had a stellar performance last week, and we wonder what the morale is like in Orlando right now, given their defensive frailties over their past two domestic encounters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.86%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Orlando City |
52.86% ( 0.01) | 23.11% ( 0.06) | 24.03% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.88% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
