Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
59.12% ( 0.89) | 20.47% ( 0.18) | 20.41% ( -1.07) |
Both teams to score 61.1% ( -2.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.33% ( -2.43) | 35.66% ( 2.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.27% ( -2.74) | 57.73% ( 2.74) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.15% ( -0.52) | 11.85% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.87% ( -1.11) | 37.13% ( 1.11) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.31% ( -2.37) | 30.69% ( 2.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.06% ( -2.89) | 66.94% ( 2.89) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.66) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.77) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.21) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.52% Total : 59.12% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.43) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.47% | 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.76% Total : 20.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |