Major League Soccer

Oct 1, 2023 at 12.30am UK

MAPFRE Stadium

Columbus Crew
1 - 1
Philadelphia

Camilo Hernandez (72' pen.)
Amundsen (67'), Camilo Hernandez (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Harriel (50')
Lowe (52'), Elliott (71'), Wagner (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Dallas
Thursday, September 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Columbus Crew 2-1 Philadelphia Union

Columbus Crew's home ground has been a fortress this year and they will be backing themselves to return to winning ways this weekend. Philadelphia Union appear to have run out of steam at the business end of the season and we fancy the hosts to end their winless run against Curtin's side.

How to watch

You can watch Columbus Crew vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 54.3%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	Philadelphia Union
54.3% ( 0.23)	22.31% ( -0.09)	23.39% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 58.85% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.43% (

0.28)

40.57% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.05% (

0.29)

62.95% (

-0.28)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.08% (

0.17)

14.92% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.69% (

0.33)

43.31% (

-0.32)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.18% (

0.04)

30.83% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.9% (

0.05)

67.1% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 54.3%

Philadelphia Union 23.39%

Draw 22.31%

Columbus Crew	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 54.3%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.31%	1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 23.39%