Major League Soccer
Sep 4, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Philadelphia4 - 1NY Red Bulls
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
43
Last Game: New England 1-0 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
23
We said: Philadelphia Union 2-0 New York Red Bulls
We rarely see the Union put together consecutive poor showings in MLS, and we expect to see a more determined effort from this group on Sunday. Their experience in these end of season races and overall balance should be enough to earn them another home victory against a team that have failed to find much consistency all year.How to watch
You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
59.66% ( 0.11) | 23.22% ( -0.2) | 17.12% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.1% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
