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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Talen Energy Stadium
Columbus Crew

Philadelphia
4 - 1
Columbus Crew

Gazdag (45+3' pen., 72' pen.), Carranza (52', 80')
Flach (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Glesnes (28' og.)
Morris (39'), Sands (43'), Camilo Hernandez (56'), Zelarayan (58'), Degenek (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-3 Philadelphia (3-0 pen.)
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-0 Columbus Crew

 All the signs indicate that Philadelphia should be comfortable winners on Saturday night, getting their 2023 campaign off to the perfect start against a side they have a very good recent record against. Not only are the U undefeated against Columbus in the last five meetings, they have not conceded a single goal in that time, and we expect that record to continue this weekend, given the disparity between the two sides last season.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawColumbus Crew
57.38% (-0.052 -0.05) 22% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 20.61% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.95% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.43% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)42.57% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)64.97% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.39% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)14.6% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.3% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)42.7% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (0.028999999999996 0.03)34.48% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (0.030999999999999 0.03)71.19% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 57.38%
    Columbus Crew 20.61%
    Draw 22%
Philadelphia UnionDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22%
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 20.61%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Columbus Crew

Philadelphia Union
84.6%
Draw
0.0%
Columbus Crew
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
0-0
Philadelphia

Mensah (1'), Zelarayan (36'), Hurtado (39'), Santos (43'), Moreira (59')

Elliott (39'), Bedoya (61')
Apr 9, 2022 11pm
Philadelphia
1-0
Columbus Crew
Room (2' og.)
Sullivan (79')

Moreira (66')
Oct 3, 2021 9pm
Philadelphia
3-0
Columbus Crew
Elliott (25'), Bedoya (46'), Flach (89')
Wagner (35'), Powell (74'), Santos (77')
Wagner (64')

Santos (66')
Jun 24, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-0
Columbus Crew
Monteiro (24')
Real (72'), Flach (84')

Matan (43'), Wormgoor (51')
Apr 18, 2021 10.30pm
Columbus Crew
0-0
Philadelphia

Diaz Espinoza (56'), Kitchen (64')

Glesnes (40'), Monteiro (61'), Santos (75'), Bedoya (89')
rhs 2.0
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